salmon prediction update
Prediction Markets: A Probability is not a Certainty
Mark Gongloff has a rather silly attack on prediction markets today. Let’s start at the beginning: John McCain’s presidential campaign is doomed — at least, if you still believe what political futures markets indicate. At the Irish electronic exchange Intrade, … Continue reading http://www.felixsalmon.com/category/prediction-markets/
Scientists predict decline in 2011 for Columbia Basin salmon
Regional fisheries managers just released their predictions for 2011 Columbia/Snake River salmon returns and – despite the regular assurances from the federal government that they have salmon recovery well in hand – the situation does not look so rosy. This is bad news for salmon and for the people whose jobs rely on them. Before getting into 2011, however, let’s review what happened in 2010. read more: http://saveourwildsalmon.blogspot.com/2010/12/scientists-predict-columbia-basin.html
Columbia River fisheries managers are predicting the largest return of spring chinook salmon since 1938, even after adjusting the model they had used for predictions in past years.
The projected run of 470,000 spring chinook is a big leap from last spring's final count of 169,300 adult fish.
Fisheries managers saw a record number of spring chinook "jacks" -- immature males that return after just one or two years at sea -- at Bonneville Dam in 2009. In the past, the jack count figured significantly into chinook forecasts, but resulted in overstated counts of actual adult returns. read more: http://www.oregonlive.com/environment/index.ssf/2009/12/spring_chinook_salmon_forecast.html
Weather Forecast: Salmon Arm, BC see more: http://www.theweathernetwork.com/weather/cabc0258
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